Barack Obama‘s first four years will be marked in textbooks as one of the most historically relevant presidential terms of all time. During the past few years, he has faced two wars overseas, the largest economic recession since the Great Depression, faced several cases of global turmoil, and passed a landmark piece of legislation guaranteeing health care for nearly every American.
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Now that Obama’s first term has come to an end, it’s time to question the likelihood of whether he will be re-elected or not. Up until recently, it seemed that Barack Obama was a lock to serve a second term, mostly due to the Republican Party’s seemingly weak candidacy pool. However, as of now, things are turning in the Romney campaign’s favor, giving him a realistic chance to win in November.
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No matter who wins, this race will be close and brutal. The economy still has not taken off, we’re still involved in war overseas, and the nation is divided over the polarizing health care law. These facts help Mitt Romney, as presidents who run for re-election during such harsh times rarely get re-elected.
The potential outcomes should inspire everyone of age to “Get Out and Vote,” because these two men have entirely different visions to take the country up until 2016 – a fact made evident by Romney, who has already stated that he plans to repeal ObamaCare if elected.
Take a look at how Romney could beat out Obama on the following pages.
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Romney has advantage in Florida and North Carolina:
Florida and North Carolina are two of the biggest swing states necessary to win a presidential election. Romney has tremendous strength in the South and many sources say these two key states will swing in Romney’s favor in the end.
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Economy Damages Obama’s Chances Of Winning Hispanic Vote:
A key factor determining Obama’s chances of re-election will be the minority voter turnout – particularly the Hispanics – because Obama is nearly certain to inspire a strong black voter turnout.
However; the poor economy has forced many low-income families to move, and this group is heavily disproportionately represented by minorities. Changing addresses means these people must re-register to vote, and there is no guarantee that everyone possible will do so in order to bring Obama the same support he had in the 2008 election.
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Romney Has Large Advantage Amongst Poor White Voters:
According to the Washington Post, Romney has an advantage by a large margin, of 58 to 32 percent, for white voters that are financially struggling or have lost their jobs. These are middle-class whites struggling to maintain their financial position that believe that Romney will do more to help their families’ economic interests.
This, combined with Obama potentially losing minority voters, could be extremely harmful to the Obama campaign.
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Romney Can Beat Obama In The $Money$ Race:
The Republican Party always has the advantage in gaining donations from rich corporations and businesses, as shown by Donald Trump’s support of Romney above. With the aid of Super PAC’s, and an effective money-raising strategy, Romney can use this to his advantage.
At this point, nearly all voters have decided who they will vote for. The real battle is using the campaign funds to communicate to the people, getting them to vote. Democrats have been great with their get-out-the-vote operation. However; the Republicans showed in Wisconsin that they too have an impressive voter turnout strategy.
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Republican Party & Party Supporters Are More Determined Than Ever:
One thing that ObamaCare has done is made nearly every American positive about who they will vote for in November. This piece of legislation is extremely polarizing, and has divided the American people as Obama or bust, or Romney or bust. Additionally, the new health care law has fired up all Republicans to do everything and anything possible in order to be able to repeal the health care law.
To sum up, there are very few undecided voters due to ObamaCare. Those that were moderates on either side now will most likely not shift to vote for the other side. And the Obama campaign is dealing with a much more formidable Republican opposition than 2008’s McCain-Palin team that did not have nearly as much on the line.
Lastly, Romney will continue to blame Obama for not doing enough to get the economy on track. The struggling economy has spread all around the world, including Europe, so this obviously cannot be at the fault of Obama. Nonetheless, Romney will use the struggling economy as a tool to bash Obama. Once again, a President has never been re-elected in a severely struggling economic state.
